High oil prices press the oil from coal strategic speed

2010, China’s coal production, the oil used at least 10 million tons per year over

spurt in international oil prices 70 dollars

Yesterday, New York, crude oil Futures again a high point of 69 U.S. dollars a barrel. 21, New York crude oil futures also see 69.15 U.S. dollars. Analysts believe that the Iranian nuclear issue tensions caused by warming, as well as civil unrest in Nigeria, triggering two major oil-exporting countries may be disruption of supply concerns, led to the recent international oil prices rising. Mizuho Corporate Bank, vice president of derivatives business, and even said that the oil market is likely to once again explore the 70 U.S. dollars. The National Development and Reform Commission’s report is due the next phase of high international oil prices continue to hover at 60 dollars a barrel, fluctuating up and down.

2006 Nian Yi Yue. International oil prices did not come before the people expected, falling back to 50 dollars. On the contrary, it is still Shangcuanxiatiao. In recent days, due to Iran’s nuclear crisis and the impacts of reduced oil production in Nigeria, international oil prices have even begun to press on 70 U.S. dollars.

“If you do not want high oil prices reined in the throat of China, China should speed up the development ‘oil from coal’ technologies.” a professor at China University of Petroleum in the interview with this reporter said.

China’s external dependence on energy is gradually increasing. According to latest figures released by General Administration of Customs, in 2005 China imported 130 million tons of crude oil, an increase of 3.3%. Commerce Department is expected, in the four-year period, China’s annual crude oil and petroleum products imports will reach approximately 160 million tons, well above the 2005 imports. In accordance with the above forecasts, China’s dependence on imported crude oil increased from the current 37% to nearly 50%.

national “oil from coal” projects, research fellow LI Yong-wang, chief scientist for the status quo of China’s oil shortage of resources, through the synthetic coal liquefaction is to achieve basic self-sufficiency of China’s oil, one of the most feasible way, but also solve the energy crisis, the most effective way.

Energy Research Institute at the National Development and Reform Commission deputy director of the Dai Yande It seems that China’s oil prices and the international market, the energy sector will be subject to the increasing influence of international market, the “coal oil” and other related alternative energy as an R & D inputs and energy strategy in the strategic reserve is appropriate, and it is urgent.

reporter learned that, in China’s long-term energy plan, “oil from coal” status is also on the rise. According to the relevant departments to disclose, the next 5 years -10 years, China will Shaanxi, Shanxi, Yunnan and Inner Mongolia as a base to accelerate the liquefaction of coal strategy to reduce dependence on the international market of petroleum products.

“oil from coal” in the dispute ahead

correspond with the Government’s support is, the domestic “oil from coal,” is also in full swing. Deputy General Manager of Shenhua Group Corporation Zhang Yuzhuo has just announced that Shenhua Erdos City, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is located in direct coal liquefaction project has been completed the first phase of the project volume of around 30% in 2007 will achieve device debugging and commissioning. Yanzhou Mining Group, said deputy general manager Zhang Minglin, Yanzhou Coal Mining megaton refinery site has also been selected, can be put into operation within two years.

people in the industry estimate, China is currently under construction of the proposed “oil from coal” projects, production reached 16 million tons, plans to invest the funds as high as 150 billion U.S. dollars.

It is understood that the Shenhua Group in Inner Mongolia Erdos addition to demonstration projects, will be in Shaanxi, Ningxia, and then build two more large-scale oil from coal project base. This reporter learned that, if the Shenhua coal liquefaction projects are put into two of its production cost per ton of gasoline is RMB 1800-1900 yuan. China’s current gasoline prices of about RMB 5000 per ton.

2010, China’s coal production, the oil used at least more than 10 million tons per year. However, there are still a number of experts on coal are not optimistic about the prospect of changing oil. State Information Center, Department of international oil experts predict cow plow in the interview with this reporter, said: “Coal as an alternative non-renewable resources to replace oil, the feasibility of this technology is still worth studying.” He believes that this approach Although you can temporarily alleviate the problem of a shortage of domestic oil, but can not be of such help to enlarge.

“oil from coal” supporters who tend to feel that as long as the oil from coal costs less than the cost of imports, this industry there is great room for development. National Australia Bank minerals and energy analyst杰拉德勃格, said the final analysis, the future of coal to oil technology, as well as the end product depends on the cost of production is lower than the market price of oil.

in accordance with international prices of coal and oil, as long as international oil prices not less than 23 U.S. dollars a barrel, coal, oil refining prospects will be very considerable. At present, international oil prices has almost close to 70 U.S. dollars.

In addition, supporters also believe that China’s huge coal reserves, also supports the development of oil from coal is another strong evidence. In theory, China has coal reserves of about 1 trillion tons.

can not solve the long-term problem of China’s energy

China Energy Network CEO HAN Xiao-ping to this technology for the development should be promoted as an industry has always held a negative attitude. “Developing this technology is, but it is not necessary to industrialization.” In his interview with this reporter, said: Although China is relatively rich in coal, but can “oil from coal,” a very high-quality coal resources are the resources , while the high-quality coal resources in China is not rich. Even the highest quality, “Shenhua coal”, it takes 3 tons of coal conversion 1 ton of oil.

According to “China Coal Development Report 2004″ data, to the end of 2002, China’s proven coal resources can be used 188.6 billion tons, while reserves of 331.7 billion tons and 687.2 billion tons the basis of the amount of resources. The national average recovery rate is only 30%, while the small-scale mines less than 15%.

2004, China’s coal-mining 2 billion tons, the actual consumption of resources, more than 6 billion tons, according to the current capacity and use patterns, you can directly use the coal resources can only be maintained for 30 years.

Niu Li told reporters that “oil from coal” technology can only solve some problems in the short term, it is impossible to fundamentally solve the long-term problems. He believes that the long run, China’s energy strategy also should be available to increase domestic exploration efforts, “going out” strategy, and vigorously develop renewable energy.

HAN Xiao-ping to this reporter that we do not object to the development of alternative fuel technologies, and even some alternative fuels with a large-scale projects should also be positive developments. However, these technologies can not meet China’s modernization process on the energy density. On the current state of technology, we should actively “go out” to encourage enterprises to China’s energy development and utilization of global resources, especially in third world countries, oil resources, by increasing global oil supply to safeguard China’s oil security.

高油价，记者从煤炭长期存在的问题难以解决的石油战略能源的加速

高油价记者从煤战略的速度

2010年，中国的煤炭生产石油，石油使用至少10万吨以上

冲刺国际油价70美元

昨天，纽约原油期货又是69美元一桶的高点。 21日，纽约原油期货价格也看到69.15美元。分析人士认为，伊朗核问题的暖化造成的紧张局势，以及尼日利亚国内局势动荡，引发两大石油出口国可能是导致近期国际油价上涨的供应忧虑，中断。瑞穗实业银行衍生品业务的副总裁，甚至表示，石油市场可能再次探讨70美元。国家发展和改革委员会的报告，是因为在国际高油价的下一阶段继续徘徊在每桶60美元，上下波动。

2006念易吁蛾。国际油价并没有像人们预料的面前，回落至50美元。相反，它仍然Shangcuanxiatiao。最近几天，由于伊朗核危机和尼日利亚，国际油价甚至开始新闻界七十美元减少石油产量的影响。

“如果你不希望在油价高企对中国勒住喉咙，中国应加快煤’技术开发的石油。”在中国石油大学在接受记者采访时教授说。

中国对能源的对外依赖度正在逐步增加。据海关总署公布的{zx1}数字，2005年中国进口1.3亿原油，3.3％的增长吨。商务部预计，在4年期间，中国每年的原油和石油产品进口将达到约1.6亿吨，远高于2005年的进口。根据上述预测，按照中国对进口原油的依赖增加，从目前的37％，接近50％。

国家“煤变油”项目，研究员李永旺，为首席科学家的现状中国的石油短缺的资源，通过综合煤炭液化是实现基本自给的中国石油，其中充足最可行的方式，也是解决能源危机，xxx的方法。

能源研究在国家发展和改革委员会副所长戴彦德研究所看来，中国的石油价格和国际市场，能源部门将受国际市场影响越来越大，对“煤代油”或其他方面的研发投入和战略储备能源战略有关的替代能源是适当的，而且是紧迫的。

了解到，在中国的长期能源计划“，从煤炭石油”的地位也呈上升趋势记者。据有关部门透露，未来5年-10年，中国将陕西，山西，云南和内蒙古为基地，加快煤炭液化战略，以减少对石油产品的国际市场的依赖。

“石油换煤”的争议今后

，也与政府的支持，但国内的“煤油”，也进行得如火如荼。副总经理神华集团章吁卓刚刚宣布，神华鄂尔多斯市，内蒙古自治区在煤直接液化项目位于已完成了2007年的约30％工程量的{dy}阶段将实现设备调试和试。兖州矿业集团，说副总经理张明林，兖州煤业百万吨级炼油厂的网站也已选定，可以投产两年内。

业内人士估计，中国目前的煤炭根据拟议的“石油”的建设项目，产量达到1600万吨，计划投资高达150亿美元新高的资金。

据了解，在内蒙古鄂尔多斯除了神华集团的示范项目，将在陕西，宁夏，然后再建两个大型石油项目，从煤炭基地。记者了解到，如果神华煤炭液化项目的投入占汽油生产成本每吨2元人民币一八○○年至00年。中国目前的汽油价格约为每吨5000元人民币。

2010年，中国的煤炭生产，使用的石油，至少超过10万吨。然而，仍然有一些专家对煤炭并不乐观改变勘探石油。国家信息中心，国际石油专家预测部在接受记者采访时牛犁说：“作为煤炭替代非再生资源替代石油，这种技术的可行性仍值得研究。”他认为，这虽然您的方法可以暂时缓解国内石油短缺的问题，但不能将这种帮助放大。

“煤油”的支持者往往感觉到谁，只要煤成本比进口成本少油长，这个行业有很大的发展空间。澳大利亚国民银行矿业和能源分析师杰拉德勃格说，说到底，未来煤炭石油技术，以及最终产品的生产成本取决于低于石油市场价格。

与煤炭和石油按照国际市场价格，只要国际油价不低于23美元一桶，煤，炼油前景将十分可观。目前，国际油价几乎接近70美元。

此外，支持者还认为，中国庞大的煤炭储量，还支持石油煤炭的发展是一个有力证据。从理论上讲，中国拥有约1万亿吨煤储量。

不可能解决中国的能源的长期问题

中国能源网总裁韩晓平这一技术的发展应作为促进产业一直持消极态度。 “开发这种技术，但是它是没有必要的产业化。”他在接受记者采访时说：虽然中国是相对丰富的煤炭，但可以“从煤炭石油，”一个非常高品质的煤炭资源是资源，而高品质的煤炭资源在中国并不富裕。即使是{zg}的质量，“神华煤”，需要3煤转化1吨油吨。

据“中国煤炭发展报告2004”的数据，到2002年底，中国已探明的煤炭资源可以用来一千八百八十六点零亿吨，而储量三千三百十七点零亿吨和六千八百七十二万点零零万吨的资源量的基础。全国平均回收率仅为30％，而小型矿井不足15％。

2004年，中国的煤炭开采20亿吨的资源的实际消费量，超过60亿吨，根据目前的能力和使用模式，可以直接使用煤炭资源只能维持30年。

钮李告诉记者，“从煤代油”技术只能解决短期的一些问题，就不可能从根本上解决长远问题。他认为，从长远来看，中国的能源战略也应该可以增加国内勘探力度，“走出去”战略，大力发展可再生能源。

韩晓平对记者说，我们并不反对替代燃料技术的发展，甚至一些大型项目的替代燃料也应积极的事态发展。但是，这些技术无法满足中国对能源密度的现代化进程。在目前的技术状况，我们要积极“走出去”，鼓励企业到中国的能源开发和利用全球资源，尤其是在第三世界国家，石油资源的日益增加的全球石油供应，以保障中国的石油安全。06.1.26