新疆，该国第三大牧场面积，近年来，其奶牛养殖业的规模，取得了进展，在效率方面，2006年人均农牧民奶牛养殖业收入达到三四四元。然而，在新疆乳品业“升级的障碍”，对一些潜在的问题需要注意发展的影响。最近记者

昌吉，伊犁，阿勒泰和其他地方接受采访时说，虽然在目前的牛奶价格显着上升，使奶牛养殖已经成为有利可图，但农民并不大乳品业的前景表示乐观，但认为牛奶价格在深层次问题的奶制品行业的发展暂时掩盖了。

-鲜牛奶，奶农的饲料价格同步上涨缺乏信心

新疆调查总队国家统计局的调查显示，过去三年来，新疆奶牛饲料价格上涨较快，但养殖成本迅速上升。在9月的主要饲料玉米今年1月2日至1月6日元每公斤的市场价格，同比增长百分之三十三去年同期相比，柴油价格的百分之四十一，同比增长百分之七十五麸皮。根据奶牛饲料的日常消费8个奶牛养殖公斤增加3.5元，每天的费用。问

牛奶在新疆呼图壁县采访时，每生产10月左右牛奶的价格每年都是{zg}的季节，目前的牛奶价格已升至每公斤2.5元。但总体而言，不喂食牛奶价格迅速上升。在花园村社农户尹少泉说，牛奶价格上下波动，但上升，尽快饲料价格，价格不会再下跌。现在，牛奶价格的原因，一方面，2005年，2006年在牛奶价格低迷时，农民大量出售牛，杀牛，在奶源供应不足，造成现在，另一方面，是由于加大对奶牛业的人数，从而抬高了价格。

-免疫，xx不能跟上的步伐

近年养牛业，新疆各地采取措施，加强疾病预防和控制牛，但牛的迅速发展，免疫水平跟不上产业步伐：一是奶牛防疫体系不完善，疾病检测设备简陋，落后的技术和设备，二是疯牛病疫情的相关性和经常性疯牛病缺乏统一，多发病没有分类和整理，也没有针对性预防，xx项目;有三个基层村一级的免疫接种，特别是工作人员严重不足，人员素质，技术水平参差不齐; 4奶农有意识淡薄疾病流行，管理粗放，奶牛发病率高，不少乳品牛奶生病。

调查国家统计局新疆兵团官员说，在牛的xx支持，部分县，新疆城市，金融业具有特殊的奶制品支持xx，但xx名额有限，大多数农民不享受。此外，银行xx期限为一年的农民一般规定，而乳品业一般在2-3年的正常营业额，xx期限不匹配，使农民在首都大多数人选择使用自己有限基金或私人xx资金，对扩大再生产的严重制约。

-乳品企业进入“淘汰赛”阶段

近两年来，蒙牛，伊利，旺旺，乳制品等十多个xxxx参与新疆生产，当前的完整-江乳品生产加工能力已远远超过了市场消费能力。新疆天山雪维维乳业有限公司市场部经理孙峰说，新疆目前的乳制品行业是越来越小，生活空间，较早前已进入了一个“拳头”的阶段。孙锋

说，新疆的乳制品，在当地市场销售的绝大部分生产。新疆奶制品行业内的生产能力远远超过了市场需求的趋势越来越明显。新疆乳品企业由于数量急剧增加，非常激烈，奶源的竞争。天山雪维维乳业有限公司超过一百四吨每日鲜奶协议，但现在超过20吨，每天仅处理，其他企业的情况也类似。牛奶价格已上升到每公斤2.5-2.8元，而奶制品，鲜牛奶价格的价格仍然维持在1.6元公斤的水平/不变。由于激烈的竞争，乳品企业谁是牛奶产品的价格恐怕只能是“难以支持。”

记者了解到，对乳品企业，目前{zd0}的问题是没有奶的收集，而是缺乏市场消费。企业可以自行收集牛奶，建基地，或补贴，鼓励农民养牛，牛奶收集在2012年将不足以缓解现状，但市场的消费能力是一个长期的过程。新疆各地近几年已开始与奶制品业，并没有想到这个问题从宏观相对市场的消费能力独立。

Dairy development in Xinjiang is facing difficulties in crossing upgrade

Xinjiang, the country’s third largest pasture area, in recent years, its奶牛养殖业scale, progress has been made in efficiency, in 2006 per capita income of farmers and herdsmen奶牛养殖业has reached 344 yuan. However, the dairy industry in Xinjiang to “upgrade” of the barrier, the impact of the development of some potential problems need attention. Journalist

recently Changji, Ili, Altay and other places in an interview that, although significant increases in the current price of milk so that dairy farming has become profitable, but farmers are not optimistic about the prospects for dairy farming, But think milk prices are the dairy industry in the development of deep-rooted problems temporarily conceal up.

- fresh milk, dairy farmers feed prices rising lack of confidence in sync

Xinjiang Survey Organization National Bureau of Statistics survey, the past three years, Xinjiang dairy feed prices rose faster, the cost of the rapid breeding rose. Main feed corn in September this year, the market price per kg for 1.2-1.6 yuan, up 33 percent year-on-year, diesel prices 41 percent, up 75 percent bran. According to the daily consumption of cow feed eight kilograms per breeding cows to increase the cost of 3.5 yuan per day. Journalist

milk production in Xinjiang county Hutubi interview that every year around October milk price year are the highest season, the current milk price has risen to 2.5 yuan per kilogram. Overall, however, do not feed milk prices rose rapidly. Farming households in the village community garden Shaoquan Yin said that milk prices fluctuated, but rose up as soon as feed prices, and prices will not fall again. Now the reasons milk prices, on the one hand, in 2005, milk prices in the doldrums in 2006 when a large number of farmers to sell cattle,杀牛, resulting in inadequate supply of milk collection now; On the other hand, are due to increase in the number of dairy industry, driving up price .

- immunization, loans can not keep up the pace of

cattle industry in recent years, various parts of Xinjiang to take measures to strengthen disease prevention and control cows, but the immunization level of the rapid development of cattle industry can not keep up the pace : One cow prevention system imperfect, disease testing equipment primitive, backward technology and equipment; Second cow epidemic are the lack of relevance and unity of the regular cow disease, frequently-occurring disease has not classified and collated, there is no targeted prevention, treatment programs; are three grass-roots village level immunization vaccination especially the serious shortage of staff, the quality of personnel, technical level uneven; four dairy farmers are poor awareness disease epidemic, extensive management, dairy cattle high prevalence rate, many dairy milk are sick.

investigate the State Statistical Bureau of Xinjiang Corps official said that in cattle support the loans, some counties and cities in Xinjiang, the financial sector has a special dairy support loans, but the loan places are limited, most farmers do not enjoy. In addition, the bank lending period farmers general provisions for one year, while dairy farming is generally normal turnover in 2-3 years, the loan period does not match, making the majority of farmers in the capital had to choose to use their own limited funds or private lending funds, impose serious constraints on the expansion of reproduction.

- dairy enterprises to enter the “knockout” stage

the past two years, Mengniu, Yili, Wangwang, such as dairy products more than a dozen well-known enterprises have to engage in the production in Xinjiang, the current full - Jiang dairy production processing capacity has far exceeded the capacity of market consumption. Xinjiang Tianshan snow vivi Dairy Co., Ltd. Marketing Manager SUN Feng said, the current dairy industry in Xinjiang is getting smaller and smaller living space, has earlier entered a “knockout” stage. SUN Feng

said, Xinjiang production of dairy products, the vast majority of sales in the local market. Xinjiang production capacity within the dairy industry far exceeds the market demand trends are becoming evident. Xinjiang dairy enterprises due to the rapid increase in quantity, very intense competition for milk collection. Tianshan snow vivi Dairy Co., Ltd deal with more than one hundred and forty tons daily fresh milk, but now more than 20 tons per day processing only, the case of other enterprises are also similar. The milk price has now risen to 2.5-2.8 yuan per kg, while the price of dairy products, fresh milk price remained unchanged at 1.6 yuan / kg levels. Due to intense competition, the dairy enterprises who are afraid of the price of milk products can only be “hard to support.”

reporters have realized that, to the dairy business, the current biggest issue is not milk collection, but a lack of market consumption. Enterprises can milk collection through self-built base, or subsidies to encourage farmers to raise cattle, milk collection in 2012 will be insufficient to alleviate the status quo, but the ability of market consumption is a long-term process. Various parts of Xinjiang in recent years have started the dairy business, has not thought about this from a macro relatively independent of the consumption power of the market. (07-12-3)