由于国庆假期的原因,以上的商业运输,多种因素导致10月份北京的钢结构库存水平显着提高市场的购买量。从10月中下旬开始,随着市场交易较好,铁矿石,焦炭,钢铁和其他原材料价格不断上涨,钢材轮流检修,而柴油价格,使运输成本上升,这些因素导致11月北京钢铁股的建设迈出了略有下降,库存新的转折。
,据北京兰格钢铁信息研究中心公布的{zx1}调查数据显示:2007年11月15号北京地区建筑钢材社会库存二十一点六〇 〇万吨中旬更比10月减少四八六〇 〇吨,下降18.36%。从亚种库存,线材四点四〇 〇万吨,大幅减少,从上个月二点三一○万吨,下降百分之34.43,高线库存22400吨,比前一个月一五四○○吨来减少40.64%的跌幅;普线股票总二点一五〇万吨,○七六○○吨比上月减少26.41%的跌幅。分析规范,Ф6.5mm线材(包括普线,高线)库存07400吨与○四四○○吨下跌,下跌37.25%;Ф8mm线材14100吨,比前一个月减少零九九零零吨下降41.24%;Ф10mm丝一点七九○万吨,05800吨从3月份下跌元,下降24.28%;Ф12mm线材零四五零零吨,比前一个月下降0.3万吨,下降百分之40.19,线材资源总量略高于前一个月下降。股票钢筋
总172100吨,比中旬多10月,以减少二五五零零吨,增长12.9百分点。其中两个九万九千七百吨钢筋,比10月下降一点一六零万吨,同比下降百分之10.43; 3钢筋七万二千三吨超过10月份减少13900吨,同比增长16.1百分点。分析规范,Ф12- 14毫米(包括二,三级钢)三点○四○万吨钢筋库存比前一个月下降了零九一零零吨,下跌22.96%,Ф16- 18毫米钢筋三点九八○万吨,较上年同期上月的减少零六零零零吨,而从上月13.04%;Ф20- 22毫米钢筋三五七零零吨,下跌〇八〇 〇 〇吨,增长18.3百分点。 Ф25- 28毫米钢筋43600吨较上月分别下跌了○五三○○吨,下跌10.84%;Ф30mm螺纹钢库存量大的多二二六〇 〇吨,从同期○二八○○吨,为14.4%,增幅比上个月增加。在中
10后的海运费价格,由铁精粉进口需求驱动,国内铁精粉,方坯价格上涨,导致建筑钢材价格的逐步升温,市场价格开始略有上升。至11月中旬,国内建设东部中国钢材价格参加了在指导大量增加,进入了一个疯狂的情况牵头,国内的建筑三四天的拉动钢材市场,这种情况还比较少见。目前,在原材料价格在库存下降的主要因素的影响。截至11月15日,铁矿石谈判还没有明确的结论,但增幅肯定的是,和国内原材料价格继续上升的地位,目前的百分之六十六,在唐山地区的氨基酸粉湿货1000,唐山价格区域碳坯价格3800元,宜城地区炼油钢材市场价格三千二百五十○元,北京地区重新花了市场价格二千七百元;在原煤,煤炭资源紧缺焦炭采购最近的困难导致增加生产成本,产量较低的面孔,在焦炭市场资源供应的紧张局势造成的。唐山地区的两个1510元冶金焦炭价格,作为一个原材料价格上涨的结果,以及严重打击,国际石油价格,国内柴油价格上涨,使运输成本,已让钢铁这个月的出货量工厂在本月初首钢协议的相应减少,减少30%的家庭,而钢厂不断维修,最近宣布了宣钢生产线维修,影响生产5万吨,以及唐山电厂发生意外,但也可能导致市场在资源的原因之一下降。
目前的市场情况,一方面对前一段时间的需求,一直是大爆炸,另一方面,较高的原材料,从而降低了钢材资源供给,不断上升,加上运费,导致目前的市场资源的相对稀缺性。市场密切,原材料价格持续增加,在钢材价格,也是市场价格相应上涨,低成本资源的现象,出货量急剧下降,并同时以“不买收购了市场“末的心理影响用户采购比较积极,市场成交相对活跃。目前在市场上的额外资源仍然有限,社会库存继续下降,同时,一些商人开始可惜货物的心态。总体而言,前市场的加热作为国内市场的被动开始转向运作,因此需要一个最关心下,短期市场的企业乐观的良好局面。
市场资源,后市场的资源压力仍然很少,统计局公布的统计数字,10月:中国的钢产量增长持续放缓,其中,4292万吨粗钢产量,比9月增长百分之13.5放缓4个百分点。建筑钢产量持续下降的整体,其中:10月钢筋产量八百七点六九〇万吨,在二十六点三二零万吨较上月相对有所增加,但相对增长百分之14.8比去年同期,10月份钢产量平均每天二十八点〇九〇万吨, 0.06减少至前每月10万吨; 10月线输出六九三八九零零吨,在二万三千一百吨较上月相对降低,相对增长百分之10.9比去年同期,10月份钢产量平均每天二四四六○○吨,零八二零零吨较上月减少,因此近期看,建筑用钢的国内资源减少的相对早期阶段的数目;而出口继续呈下降趋势,海关11月7日公布的数据显示,总局在对中国钢铁出口4.2 10万吨,减少9月环比24万吨,6,7,8,分别为中国的钢铁出口636594538万吨,总的趋势持续下降,比9月,10月钢坯出口160000吨工夫,减少十九点零零零万吨。从以上数据显示,在国内市场上最近的压力是不是资源。在需求方面,今年,北京,甚至国内建筑钢材市场是一个“不旺的季节,是不是短期淡季”的情况时,作为价格的上涨,同时,市场的资源减少。 11月,在北京及周边地区仍是短期内的强劲需求不会出现大幅萎缩。然而,由于目前的市场价格相对较高,也较前高厂120元的价格,如果对市场价格飙升的情况下在钢厂年底,可能有{zxj}的,企业不希望看到这种情况,企业或更加谨慎。国家有关部门正在酝酿同时加强对钢材出口关税,执行时间可能从明年1月1日,其中:长材产品,即:螺纹,线材,酒吧等,将增加五点,即后者征收15%的关税,这标志着中国钢筋出口的希望大大减少,从1月至今年9月,钢筋和线材产品一千○四十六万千吨,或将收益的百分之同期7.77,一旦出口受阻中国的出口,将导致目前国内形势的变化,对市场人士心态有一定的影响。在接近年底大多数企业并没有刻意囤积资源,主要是对自然资源的消耗,主要是最近在目前的高油价为基础的适度调整的空间,但钢材已采取限制政策,落后的结合钢走出不到40%的脂肪国家改革委员会和财政部的生产能力正在编制的财政支持政策,鼓励地方市政当局淘汰落后的钢铁生产能力的进程缓慢。可以看出,后期市场资源不增加,国内建筑钢材市场良好,南方和北方,以提高市场价格,有利于资源的北京市场转移,库存将会继续下降。
Expert: Beijing in November construction of small steel stocks down
Due to the reasons for the National Day holiday, the market purchase volume of more than business shipments, multiple factors have led to the construction of steel in October Beijing marked increase in inventory levels. From mid to late 10 onwards, as the market traded better, iron ore, coke and steel and other raw materials prices rising, the steel turns overhaul, while diesel oil prices so that the rise in transportation costs, these factors Beijing in November led to the construction of steel stocks took a new turn with a slight fall inventory.
, according to Beijing Lange Steel Information Research Center released the latest survey data show: November 15, 2007 Beijing area steel building society stocks 216,000 tons more than in mid-October to reduce 48,600 tons, down 18.36 %. From the sub-species inventory, the wire stock 44,000 tons, substantially reduced from last month 23,100 tons, 34.43 percent drop in; high-line inventory 22,400 tons, 15,400 tons from the previous month to reduce the decline in 40.64%; Pu Line Stock total 21,500 tons, 07,600 tons from the previous month reduction, 26.41% decline. Analysis from the specifications, Ф6.5mm wire (including Pu-line, high line) Inventory 07,400 tons, with 04,400 tons dropped, fell 37.25%; Ф8mm wire 14,100 tons, 09,900 tons from the previous month to reduce the decline 41.24% ; Ф10mm wire 17,900 tons, 05,800 tons from the previous month decline in yuan, down 24.28%; Ф12mm wire 04,500 tons, the previous month fell by 0.3 million tons, 40.19 percent drop in, wire the total amount of resources has slightly decreased from the previous month. Stock rebar
total 172,100 tons, more than in mid-October to reduce 25,500 tons, up 12.9 percent decline. Two of which 99,700 tons rebar, fell in October than 11,600 tons, up 10.43 percent decline; 3 Rebar 72,300 tons more than in October to reduce 13,900 tons, up 16.1 percent decline. Analysis from the specifications, Ф12-14mm (including two, three-tier steel) rebar inventories 30,400 tons, from the previous month fell by 09,100 tons, fell 22.96%; Ф16-18mm rebar 39,800 tons, over the same period the previous month to reduce the 06,000 tons, fell 13.04%; Ф20-22mm rebar 35,700 tons, from the previous month fell by 08,000 tons, up 18.3 percent decline. Ф25-28mm rebar 43,600 tons, from the previous month fell by 05,300 tons, fell 10.84%; Ф30mm large rebar inventories more than 22,600 tons, from the previous month increase over the same period 02,800 tons, an increase of 14.4%. In mid-
10 after the sea-freight prices, driven by铁精粉imports, domestic铁精粉, billet continuous price rise, led to the gradual warming of construction steel prices, market prices began to rise slightly. To mid-November, the domestic construction steel price in eastern China took the lead in a substantial increase in guidance, access to a crazy situation, the domestic construction steel market for three or four days of pulling up, this situation is still relatively rare. At present, the impact of inventory of raw materials prices drop in the dominant factor. As of November 15, iron ore negotiations have not yet specific conclusion, but the increase is in the affirmative; and domestic raw material prices continued to rise in status, the current 66 percent in Tangshan region amino acid powder wet goods prices in 1000, Tangshan region carbon billet price 3800 yuan, Yicheng regional refining steel market prices to 3250 yuan, the Beijing area re-spent in the market price 2700 yuan; the recent difficulties in the procurement of raw coal, coal coke of the scarcity of resources lead to increased production costs, yield lower face, resulting in part of the coke market resources supply tensions. Tangshan region two metallurgical coke prices in 1510 yuan; as a result of rising raw material prices, as well as by the serious blow to the international oil prices, domestic diesel prices increase, so that transport costs, which have allowed this month’s shipments of steel mill corresponding decrease in Shougang agreement this month to reduce 30% of households, and the steel mill continuous maintenance, the recent Xuanhua Steel announced a production line maintenance, affecting production of 50,000 tons, as well as the Tangshan Power Plant accident, but also lead to market decline in resources One of the reasons.
current market conditions, on the one hand the demand for the previous period has been a big bang, on the other hand, high raw material, making steel has reduced the supply of resources, coupled with rising freight costs, resulting in the current market resources The relative scarcity. The market closely, raw materials prices, continued to increase in steel prices, is also a corresponding rise in market prices, the phenomenon of low-cost resources to shipments fell sharply, and at the same time the market by “buying up not buying down” the psychological impact of end-user procurement more positive, the market turnover is relatively active. Currently on the market of additional resources are still limited, social stock continued to decline at the same time, some merchants began to pity the mentality of goods. Overall, the pre-passive operation of the market’s heating up as the domestic market began to shift, and therefore needs a good situation under the most optimistic about the short-term market businesses.
market resources, the post-market resources are still little pressure, the Statistical Bureau statistics released in October: China’s steel production growth continued to slow, in which crude steel production of 42,920,000 tons, up 13.5 percent over September increase slowed down 4 percentage points. Construction steel output continued to decline overall, of which: October rebar output 8,706,900 tons, the relative increase of 263,200 tons from the previous month, the relative growth of 14.8 percent over the same period last year, steel output in October daily average 280,900 tons, 0.06 reduction from the previous month 10,000 tons; October wire output 6,938,900 tons, the relative reduction of 23,100 tons from the previous month, the relative growth of 10.9 percent over the same period last year, steel output in October daily average 244,600 tons, 08,200 tons from the previous month reduced; thus look Recently, construction steel domestic resources has decreased the number of relatively early stage; while exports continued a downward trend, the General Administration of Customs November 7 release of the data revealed that in October of China’s steel exports 4.2 million tons, reducing the ring in September than 240,000 tons, 6,7,8, respectively, China’s steel exports are 636,594,538 million tons, the overall trend has continued to drop, October billet exports 160,000 tons more than in September to reduce the 190,000 tons. From the above data shows that the recent pressure on the domestic market is not the availability of resources. The demand side, this year, Beijing and even the domestic construction steel market is a “non-wang season, is not short off-season” situation, at the same time as rising prices, the market decline in resources. In November in Beijing and surrounding areas is still strong demand for the short term does not appear to shrink greatly. However, due to the current market price is relatively high, has been higher than ex-factory price of 120 yuan, if the soaring market prices for the circumstances, at the end of steel mills may have the most up, businesses do not want to see this is the case, businesses or more cautious. National departments are brewing at the same time enhance the export of steel tariffs, the execution time may be from January 1 next year, of which: long products namely: thread, wire, bar and so on will increase five points, that is, the latter to levy 15% tariffs, marking the Chinese rebar export hope greatly reduced, from January to September this year, China’s exports of rebar and wire rod products 10.461 million tons, or about to yield 7.77 percent over the same period, once the export blocked, will lead to the current domestic situation change, the mentality of those on the market have a certain impact. Near the end of the year most businesses do not deliberately hoarding of resources, mainly the recent depletion of natural resources mainly based on the current high price has to suitably adjust the space, but the steel has been taken to limit policy, combined with the backward steel production capacity out of less than 40% fat country Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance is preparing a financial support policy to encourage local municipalities to eliminate backward steel production capacity of the slow process. As can be seen, post-market resources do not increase, the domestic construction steel market well, the South and the North to increase the market price and is conducive to the Beijing market diversion of resources, inventory will continue to decline. (07-11-21)